← 2. Bundesliga 2018 · Fri, Feb 8, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Johann Pfeifer, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Regensburg win | 46% | 2.12 |
| Bielefeld win | 28% | 3.49 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.64 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | ⚽ | Fabian Klos · Bielefeld |
| 25' | ⚽ (pen) | Andreas Voglsammer · Bielefeld |
| 27' | 🟨 | Brian Behrendt · Bielefeld |
| 50' | ⚽ | Cedric Brunner · Bielefeld |
| 52' | 🟨 | Benedikt Saller · Regensburg |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 19 | Shots | 11 |
| 6 | On target | 6 |
| 12 | Corners | 5 |
| 13 | Fouls | 12 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Regensburg | Bielefeld |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.51 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.47 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.40 |
| venue | Continental Arena |
| coach days | 587.00 | 69.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.11 | 1.60 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.17 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.67 |
| elo | 1489.63 | 1473.23 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 1.72 | 36.11 |
| eye test v1 | -0.20 | 1.35 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.18 | 0.40 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 63.90 | 53.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 1.17 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.58 | 0.61 |
| league points | 32.00 | 24.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 58.20 | 78.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 42.00 | 52.00 |
| rest days | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.52 | 1.14 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 7.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.80 | 15.80 |
| skill v1 | -2.47 | 0.32 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.80 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 7.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 7.20 |
| squad age | 27.09 | 26.47 |
| state index | -0.13 | 0.44 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.67 | -0.36 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.32 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |