← 2. Bundesliga 2018 · Fri, Feb 1, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Christof Gunsch, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ingolstadt win | 47% | 2.05 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.42 |
| Magdeburg win | 24% | 3.96 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 65' | 🟨 | Darío Lezcano · Ingolstadt |
| 81' | ⚽ | Philip Türpitz · Magdeburg |
| 88' | 🟨 | Marius Bülter · Magdeburg |
| 90' | 🟨 | Michel Niemeyer · Magdeburg |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 4 |
| 3 | On target | 2 |
| 5 | Corners | 3 |
| 10 | Fouls | 18 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ingolstadt | Magdeburg |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | — |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 1.80 |
| coach days | 62.00 | 1676.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | — |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| venue | Audi Sportpark |
| corner diff avg (last 5) |
| -1.40 |
| 1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.05 | 1.73 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.17 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1413.88 | 1426.82 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 1.98 | -3.67 |
| eye test v1 | -0.40 | -0.26 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.04 | -0.09 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.20 | 64.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.47 | 0.79 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | — |
| keeper form v1 | 0.65 | — |
| league points | 14.00 | 15.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 68.80 | 67.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.20 | 46.60 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.42 |
| season ppg | 0.70 | 0.75 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | 1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.00 | 12.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.82 | -1.19 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 4.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 28.09 | 27.13 |
| state index | -0.30 | -0.51 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.30 | -0.89 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.00 |