← 2. Bundesliga 2018 · Wed, Jan 30, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Robert Kampka, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Dresden win | 40% | 2.45 |
| Bielefeld win | 31% | 3.14 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.28 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 19' | ⚽ | Osman Atilgan · Dresden |
| 26' | 🟨 | Brian Behrendt · Bielefeld |
| 26' | ⚽ (pen) | Brian Hamalainen · Dresden |
| 31' | 🟨 | Jannik Müller · Dresden |
| 34' | ⚽ (og) | Barış Atik · Bielefeld |
| 40' | ⚽ | Moussa Koné · Dresden |
| 53' | ⚽ | Jóan Edmundsson · Bielefeld |
| 68' | 🟨 | Marco Hartmann · Dresden |
| 69' | ⚽ (pen) | Fabian Klos · Bielefeld |
| 77' | 🟥 | Marco Hartmann · Dresden |
| 78' | ⚽ | Julian Börner · Bielefeld |
| 84' | 🟨 | Nils Seufert · Bielefeld |
| 90' | 🟨 | Patrick Ebert · Dresden |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 3 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 12 | Shots | 16 |
| 7 | On target | 8 |
| 4 | Corners | 4 |
| 21 | Fouls | 21 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Dresden | Bielefeld |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.46 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.33 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 141.00 |
| venue | Rudolf-Harbig Stadion |
| 60.00 |
| congestion 21d | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.38 | 1.85 |
| elo | 1435.38 | 1417.63 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 2.90 | -5.98 |
| eye test v1 | 0.53 | 0.52 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.39 | 0.51 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.50 | 54.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.16 | 0.82 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.65 | 0.62 |
| league points | 25.00 | 18.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.60 | 74.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.60 | 49.60 |
| rest days | 30.00 | 30.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.30 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 1.39 | 1.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.22 | -0.28 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.60 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.33 | 7.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.40 |
| state index | -0.13 | -0.37 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.09 | -0.77 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.35 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.33 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |