← 2. Bundesliga 2018 · Wed, Jan 30, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Florian Heft, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Heidenheim win | 37% | 2.62 |
| Holstein Kiel win | 36% | 2.73 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.53 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 4' | ⚽ | Jonas Meffert · Holstein Kiel |
| 7' | ⚽ | Robert Glatzel · Heidenheim |
| 14' | ⚽ | Denis Thomalla · Heidenheim |
| 53' | 🟨 | Robert Glatzel · Heidenheim |
| 77' | 🟨 | Hauke Wahl · Holstein Kiel |
| 79' | 🟨 | László Bénes · Holstein Kiel |
| 81' | ⚽ (og) | Timo Beermann · Holstein Kiel |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 6 | Shots | 10 |
| 5 | On target | 4 |
| 1 | Corners | 9 |
| 13 | Fouls | 7 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Heidenheim | Holstein Kiel |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.39 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| venue | Voith-Arena |
| coach days | 4169.00 | 213.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.20 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.05 | 2.46 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.04 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.43 |
| elo | 1530.51 | 1609.36 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 40.34 | 40.52 |
| eye test v1 | 0.08 | -0.02 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.20 | 0.01 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 50.00 | 64.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.25 | 1.26 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 1.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.79 | 0.75 |
| league points | 33.00 | 33.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 15.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.80 | 81.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.80 | 53.80 |
| rest days | 30.00 | 30.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.26 | 0.26 |
| season ppg | 1.74 | 1.74 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.00 | -4.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.60 | 11.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.77 | 0.71 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 26.85 | 26.15 |
| state index | 0.76 | 1.12 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.76 | 0.67 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.60 |