← 2. Bundesliga 2018 · Wed, Jan 30, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Sören Storks, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hamburger SV win | 54% | 1.79 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.44 |
| SV Sandhausen win | 18% | 5.37 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 45' | ⚽ | Pierre-Michel Lasogga · Hamburger SV |
| 58' | 🟨 | Rúrik Gíslason · SV Sandhausen |
| 65' | ⚽ (pen) | Andrew Wooten · SV Sandhausen |
| 68' | ⚽ | Pierre-Michel Lasogga · Hamburger SV |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 16 | Shots | 5 |
| 7 | On target | 3 |
| 5 | Corners | 2 |
| 11 | Fouls | 16 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Hamburger SV | SV Sandhausen |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| coach days | 335.00 | 121.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| venue | Volksparkstadion |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.97 | 2.16 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.18 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.60 |
| elo | 1617.81 | 1416.04 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 9.05 | -13.44 |
| eye test v1 | 0.04 | 0.03 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.08 | -0.01 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 65.90 | 59.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.85 | 1.34 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.64 | 0.60 |
| league points | 40.00 | 14.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 9.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 9.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.00 | 72.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 57.40 | 52.60 |
| rest days | 30.00 | 30.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.41 |
| season ppg | 2.11 | 0.74 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.80 | 13.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.72 | -0.29 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.90 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 24.13 | 27.19 |
| state index | 0.53 | -0.70 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.58 | -0.22 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.40 |