← 2. Bundesliga 2018 · Tue, Jan 29, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Matthias Jollenbeck, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Magdeburg win | 46% | 2.09 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.40 |
| Erzgebirge AUE win | 25% | 3.87 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | 🟨 | Timo Perthel · Magdeburg |
| 40' | 🟨 | Philipp Riese · Erzgebirge AUE |
| 44' | ⚽ | Felix Lohkemper · Magdeburg |
| 59' | 🟨 | Dominik Wydra · Erzgebirge AUE |
| 72' | 🟨 | Marius Bülter · Magdeburg |
| 80' | 🟨 | Emmanuel Iyoha · Erzgebirge AUE |
| 88' | 🟨 | Charles Elie Laprevotte · Magdeburg |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 9 |
| 5 | On target | 1 |
| 4 | Corners | 3 |
| 13 | Fouls | 15 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Magdeburg | Erzgebirge AUE |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.53 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.47 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.55 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 3.80 |
| venue | MDCC-Arena |
| coach days | 1673.00 | 607.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | — | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.21 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | -2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 8.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 6.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.78 | 3.14 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.38 |
| elo | 1417.45 | 1455.41 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -20.07 | 44.08 |
| eye test v1 | 0.05 | 0.30 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.16 | 0.51 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.90 | 53.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 1.42 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.54 | 0.80 |
| league points | 12.00 | 25.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 10.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 66.40 | 69.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.40 | 42.00 |
| rest days | 30.00 | 30.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.44 | 0.39 |
| season ppg | 0.63 | 1.32 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -6.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.80 | 12.00 |
| skill v1 | -1.26 | -1.33 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.80 | 4.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 7.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.40 |
| squad age | 26.09 | 26.27 |
| state index | -1.01 | 0.31 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.93 | -1.03 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |