← 2. Bundesliga 2018 · Tue, Jan 29, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Muller Pascal, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ingolstadt win | 40% | 2.44 |
| Greuther Furth win | 30% | 3.18 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.26 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 41' | 🟨 | Daniel Keita-Ruel · Greuther Furth |
| 58' | 🟨 | Kenny Prince Redondo · Greuther Furth |
| 58' | 🟨 | Christian Träsch · Ingolstadt |
| 64' | 🟨 | Almog Cohen · Ingolstadt |
| 71' | 🟨 | Marco Caligiuri · Greuther Furth |
| 73' | ⚽ (pen) | Darío Lezcano · Ingolstadt |
| 81' | 🟨 | Sebastian Ernst · Greuther Furth |
| 83' | 🟥 | Mario Maloča · Greuther Furth |
| 90' | 🟥 | Paul Seguin · Greuther Furth |
| 90' | 🟨 | Stefan Kutschke · Ingolstadt |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 5 | Shots | 12 |
| 1 | On target | 6 |
| 2 | Corners | 4 |
| 17 | Fouls | 13 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 2 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Greuther Furth | Ingolstadt |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.14 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.70 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.60 |
| venue | Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer |
| coach days | 515.00 | 59.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | -2.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.60 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 2.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.39 | 2.08 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.40 |
| elo | 1444.36 | 1400.99 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -39.44 | -21.84 |
| eye test v1 | -0.95 | -0.68 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.29 | -0.30 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 44.50 | 53.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.29 | 0.57 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.63 | 0.45 |
| league points | 27.00 | 11.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 15.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.00 | 68.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.60 | 47.20 |
| rest days | 30.00 | 30.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.35 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.42 | 0.58 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.60 | -5.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.20 | 10.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.66 | -1.02 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.90 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 1.00 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 25.38 | 25.28 |
| state index | -0.96 | -1.27 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.20 | -0.42 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.40 |