← 2. Bundesliga 2018 · Sun, Dec 23, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Tobias Reichel, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| SC Paderborn 07 win | 55% | 1.76 |
| Draw | 24% | 3.97 |
| Darmstadt win | 21% | 4.63 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 18 | Shots | 12 |
| 10 | On target | 5 |
| 4 | Corners | 3 |
| 11 | Fouls | 9 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | SC Paderborn 07 | Darmstadt |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.23 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.25 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.54 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 |
| venue | Benteler-Arena |
| 2.40 |
| coach days | 631.00 | 387.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.07 | 2.36 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.18 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1467.14 | 1477.02 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 36.34 | -37.38 |
| eye test v1 | 0.77 | -0.64 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.46 | 0.04 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 64.80 | 62.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.85 | 0.95 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | 0.55 |
| league points | 25.00 | 22.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.80 | 76.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.40 | 52.60 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.26 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.39 | 1.22 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 16.20 | 12.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.21 | 0.11 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 6.20 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 2.80 |
| squad age | 24.98 | 28.37 |
| state index | 0.40 | -0.87 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.96 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.40 |