← 2. Bundesliga 2018 · Sat, Dec 22, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Daniel Schlager, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC St. Pauli 1910 win | 49% | 1.98 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.41 |
| Magdeburg win | 23% | 4.26 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 16' | ⚽ | Bernd Nehrig · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 29' | 🟨 | Dennis Erdmann · Magdeburg |
| 32' | 🟨 | Henk Veerman · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 35' | ⚽ | Michel Niemeyer · Magdeburg |
| 44' | 🟨 | Bernd Nehrig · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 58' | 🟨 | Alexander Brunst · Magdeburg |
| 59' | ⚽ (pen) | Marvin Knoll · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 63' | ⚽ | Dimitrios Diamantakos · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 90' | 🟨 | Dimitrios Diamantakos · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 90' | 🟨 | Marcel Costly · Magdeburg |
| 90' | ⚽ | Dimitrios Diamantakos · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 7 | Shots | 16 |
| 6 | On target | 7 |
| 2 | Corners | 6 |
| 10 | Fouls | 12 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | FC St. Pauli 1910 | Magdeburg |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.43 | 0.23 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | — |
| box share (last 5) | 0.73 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 0.80 |
| venue | Millerntor-Stadion |
| coach days | 386.00 | 1635.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | — |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.96 | 1.91 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1529.06 | 1427.35 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 26.22 | -21.02 |
| eye test v1 | 0.17 | -0.25 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.10 | -0.19 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.60 | 62.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | — |
| keeper form v1 | 0.80 | 0.59 |
| league points | 34.00 | 12.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 9.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.60 | 63.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.60 | 45.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 5.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.47 |
| season ppg | 1.89 | 0.67 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.80 | -1.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.00 | 12.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.90 | -1.71 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.00 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 26.66 | 25.39 |
| state index | 0.38 | -0.99 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.99 | -1.22 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.60 |