← 2. Bundesliga 2018 · Fri, Dec 21, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Benjamin Cortus, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| 1. FC Köln win | 60% | 1.60 |
| Draw | 24% | 3.98 |
| Bochum win | 15% | 6.24 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1' | ⚽ | Lukas Hinterseer · Bochum |
| 16' | 🟨 | Lukas Hinterseer · Bochum |
| 19' | 🟨 | Jhon Córdoba · 1. FC Köln |
| 24' | ⚽ | Simon Terodde · 1. FC Köln |
| 32' | 🟨 | Marcel Risse · 1. FC Köln |
| 32' | 🟨 | Jan Gyamerah · Bochum |
| 55' | 🟨 | Anthony Losilla · Bochum |
| 58' | ⚽ | Lukas Hinterseer · Bochum |
| 69' | ⚽ | Sidney Sam · Bochum |
| 75' | 🟨 | Jonas Hector · 1. FC Köln |
| 76' | ⚽ | Marcel Risse · 1. FC Köln |
| 83' | 🟨 | Tim Hoogland · Bochum |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 17 | Shots | 9 |
| 8 | On target | 5 |
| 8 | Corners | 1 |
| 20 | Fouls | 19 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | 1. FC Köln | Bochum |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.45 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.46 | 0.22 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.25 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.73 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| venue | RheinEnergieStadion |
| coach days | 173.00 | 323.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.04 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 3.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 3.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 6.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 4.67 | 2.39 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.03 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.60 |
| elo | 1628.72 | 1506.35 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 59.11 | -17.31 |
| eye test v1 | 1.67 | 0.25 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.05 | -0.00 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.50 | 65.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 15.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 3.80 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 2.32 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.80 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.50 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.70 |
| league points | 36.00 | 27.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.20 | 78.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.40 | 62.60 |
| rest days | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.42 | 0.30 |
| season ppg | 2.00 | 1.50 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.00 | 16.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.99 | 1.01 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 7.10 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 8.33 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 8.20 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 26.64 | 29.44 |
| state index | 1.50 | -0.31 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.33 | 0.52 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.60 |