← 2. Bundesliga 2018 · Fri, Dec 21, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Frank Willenborg, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| SV Sandhausen win | 51% | 1.88 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.53 |
| Greuther Furth win | 21% | 4.55 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 52' | 🟨 | Maximilian Sauer · Greuther Furth |
| 69' | 🟨 | Lukas Gugganig · Greuther Furth |
| 73' | 🟨 | Aleksandr Zhirov · SV Sandhausen |
| 86' | 🟨 | Denis Linsmayer · SV Sandhausen |
| 90' | 🟨 | Erik Zenga · SV Sandhausen |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 4 |
| 4 | On target | 1 |
| 2 | Corners | 0 |
| 17 | Fouls | 14 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | SV Sandhausen | Greuther Furth |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.23 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.40 | 0.22 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.25 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.53 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 |
| venue | Hardtwaldstadion |
| 2.60 |
| coach days | 81.00 | 476.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.04 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 8.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 6.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.33 | 2.99 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.22 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1417.01 | 1443.39 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -13.89 | -53.35 |
| eye test v1 | -0.01 | -0.60 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.16 | -0.11 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.00 | 41.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -2.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 3.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.26 | 1.25 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.63 |
| league points | 13.00 | 26.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since win | 8.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.00 | 73.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.80 | 50.60 |
| rest days | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.41 | 0.35 |
| season ppg | 0.72 | 1.44 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.80 | -1.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.40 | 13.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.41 | -0.33 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 8.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 1.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 2.80 |
| squad age | 26.78 | 25.17 |
| state index | -0.69 | -1.33 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.50 | -0.30 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |