← 2. Bundesliga 2018 · Sun, Dec 16, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Robert Kampka, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| SV Sandhausen win | 42% | 2.30 |
| Regensburg win | 30% | 3.25 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.46 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 16' | ⚽ | Sargis Adamyan · Regensburg |
| 20' | ⚽ | Andrew Wooten · SV Sandhausen |
| 26' | 🟨 | Leart Paqarada · SV Sandhausen |
| 39' | 🟨 | Marco Grüttner · Regensburg |
| 45' | ⚽ | Philipp Förster · SV Sandhausen |
| 70' | 🟨 | Sargis Adamyan · Regensburg |
| 90' | ⚽ | Sargis Adamyan · Regensburg |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 16 | Shots | 6 |
| 6 | On target | 5 |
| 4 | Corners | 4 |
| 9 | Fouls | 15 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | SV Sandhausen | Regensburg |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.22 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.25 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.71 | 0.54 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.40 |
| venue | Hardtwaldstadion |
| coach days | 76.00 | 533.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 7.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.63 | 1.72 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.58 |
| elo | 1417.05 | 1475.54 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -15.67 | -3.29 |
| eye test v1 | -0.31 | 0.24 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.19 | -0.27 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.20 | 62.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.32 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.67 |
| league points | 12.00 | 25.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since win | 7.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.20 | 65.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.80 | 50.60 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 9.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.47 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 0.71 | 1.47 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 5.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.60 | 20.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.18 | -1.14 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.80 |
| squad age | 27.67 | 27.25 |
| state index | -0.69 | -0.12 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.30 | -1.49 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.36 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.40 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.38 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.80 |