← 2. Bundesliga 2018 · Sat, Dec 15, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Matthias Jollenbeck, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| 1. FC Union Berlin win | 47% | 2.05 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.44 |
| Bochum win | 25% | 3.93 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 60' | ⚽ (pen) | Sebastian Polter · 1. FC Union Berlin |
| 71' | 🟨 | Michael Parensen · 1. FC Union Berlin |
| 87' | ⚽ | Robert Žulj · 1. FC Union Berlin |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 18 | Shots | 20 |
| 7 | On target | 6 |
| 5 | Corners | 4 |
| 22 | Fouls | 9 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | 1. FC Union Berlin | Bochum |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.22 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.40 |
| coach days | 167.00 | 317.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.08 |
| venue | An der Alten Försterei |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 4.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 2.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 7.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.28 | 2.47 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.58 |
| elo | 1571.12 | 1516.58 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 22.94 | -6.08 |
| eye test v1 | -0.13 | 0.12 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.21 | -0.12 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.00 | 62.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.26 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.77 | 0.68 |
| league points | 29.00 | 27.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 67.00 | 78.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.20 | 62.00 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.30 |
| season ppg | 1.71 | 1.59 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 3.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.40 | 15.00 |
| skill v1 | -1.27 | 1.02 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 27.00 | 28.64 |
| state index | 0.58 | -0.11 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.04 | 0.79 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.80 |