← 2. Bundesliga 2018 · Mon, Dec 10, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Benedikt Kempkes, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bochum win | 48% | 2.03 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.49 |
| FC St. Pauli 1910 win | 25% | 3.94 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 15' | ⚽ | Sami Allagui · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 23' | 🟨 | Philipp Ziereis · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 35' | ⚽ | Lukas Hinterseer · Bochum |
| 41' | 🟨 | Manuel Riemann · Bochum |
| 42' | ⚽ | Henk Veerman · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 53' | 🟨 | Luca Zander · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 58' | 🟨 | Tom Weilandt · Bochum |
| 83' | 🟨 | Henk Veerman · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 86' | ⚽ | Mats Møller Dæhli · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 22 | Shots | 16 |
| 6 | On target | 6 |
| 7 | Corners | 4 |
| 11 | Fouls | 18 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bochum | FC St. Pauli 1910 |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.45 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.44 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.70 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 312.00 |
| venue | Vonovia Ruhrstadion |
| 374.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.42 | 4.01 |
| elo | 1486.29 | 1460.56 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 13.39 | 0.43 |
| eye test v1 | -0.01 | 0.48 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.26 | -0.14 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.30 | 60.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.06 | 0.92 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.82 |
| league points | 24.00 | 25.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.80 | 73.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 61.20 | 48.20 |
| rest days | 8.29 | 9.31 |
| scorer concentration | 0.32 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.60 | 1.67 |
| skill v1 | 0.96 | -0.47 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.40 |
| state index | 0.17 | -0.13 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.96 | -0.52 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.20 |