← 2. Bundesliga 2018 · Sun, Dec 9, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Felix Brych, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| 1. FC Union Berlin win | 42% | 2.30 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.25 |
| Magdeburg win | 28% | 3.46 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 11 |
| 5 | On target | 2 |
| 4 | Corners | 2 |
| 10 | Fouls | 22 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Magdeburg | 1. FC Union Berlin |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.39 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 |
| venue | MDCC-Arena |
| 2.00 |
| coach days | 1622.00 | 161.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | — | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.08 | 2.15 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1431.82 | 1573.43 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -35.49 | 21.04 |
| eye test v1 | -0.46 | 0.02 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.22 | 0.39 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.20 | 62.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.17 | 1.26 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.52 | 0.73 |
| league points | 11.00 | 28.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 7.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 64.00 | 69.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.00 | 46.60 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.44 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 0.69 | 1.75 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.40 | 14.20 |
| skill v1 | -1.66 | -1.04 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.80 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 26.06 | 27.23 |
| state index | -1.01 | 0.58 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.98 | -1.00 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.40 |