← 2. Bundesliga 2018 · Sat, Dec 1, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Sören Storks, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| 1. FC Köln win | 69% | 1.39 |
| Draw | 19% | 5.13 |
| Greuther Furth win | 12% | 7.98 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 17' | ⚽ | Dominick Drexler · 1. FC Köln |
| 42' | 🟨 | Maximilian Bauer · Greuther Furth |
| 51' | 🟨 | Maximilian Bauer · Greuther Furth |
| 51' | 🟥 | Maximilian Bauer · Greuther Furth |
| 52' | ⚽ (pen) | Simon Terodde · 1. FC Köln |
| 57' | 🟨 | Maximilian Wittek · Greuther Furth |
| 60' | ⚽ | Jhon Córdoba · 1. FC Köln |
| 78' | ⚽ | Simon Terodde · 1. FC Köln |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 18 | Shots | 7 |
| 10 | On target | 3 |
| 11 | Corners | 6 |
| 4 | Fouls | 11 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | 1. FC Köln | Greuther Furth |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.42 | 0.23 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.49 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.26 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.47 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 |
| venue | RheinEnergieStadion |
| 2.20 |
| coach days | 153.00 | 456.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 6.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 4.20 | 1.62 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.18 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1599.26 | 1490.83 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 19.32 | -8.76 |
| eye test v1 | 0.95 | -0.20 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.02 | 0.34 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.20 | 39.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 2.25 | 1.51 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.70 | 1.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.71 |
| league points | 27.00 | 26.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.40 | 70.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 58.00 | 51.60 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.45 | 0.35 |
| season ppg | 1.80 | 1.73 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.60 | 14.60 |
| skill v1 | 1.12 | -0.54 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 7.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 6.00 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.33 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 26.10 | 25.32 |
| state index | 0.74 | -0.26 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.63 | -0.56 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |