← 2. Bundesliga 2018 · Sat, Dec 1, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Marco Fritz, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| 1. FC Union Berlin win | 51% | 1.88 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.44 |
| Darmstadt win | 20% | 4.74 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 28' | ⚽ | Sebastian Andersson · 1. FC Union Berlin |
| 42' | ⚽ | Sebastian Andersson · 1. FC Union Berlin |
| 44' | 🟨 | Aytaç Sulu · Darmstadt |
| 65' | ⚽ (og) | Aytaç Sulu · 1. FC Union Berlin |
| 73' | ⚽ | Serdar Dursun · Darmstadt |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 16 | Shots | 8 |
| 3 | On target | 3 |
| 8 | Corners | 2 |
| 12 | Fouls | 12 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | 1. FC Union Berlin | Darmstadt |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.39 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 |
| venue | An der Alten Försterei |
| 2.80 |
| coach days | 153.00 | 365.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.91 | 2.58 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1563.95 | 1489.67 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 10.59 | 0.57 |
| eye test v1 | -0.34 | -0.60 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.30 | -0.05 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 63.00 | 65.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.18 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.56 |
| league points | 25.00 | 20.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 66.80 | 67.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.20 | 48.00 |
| rest days | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.67 | 1.33 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.40 | 9.40 |
| skill v1 | -1.23 | -1.15 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 3.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 26.95 | 27.98 |
| state index | 0.43 | -0.23 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.75 | -0.24 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |