← 2. Bundesliga 2018 · Fri, Nov 30, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Rene Rohde, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| SC Paderborn 07 win | 58% | 1.68 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.23 |
| Bielefeld win | 20% | 4.92 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 34' | 🟨 | Sven Michel · SC Paderborn 07 |
| 44' | 🟨 | Andreas Voglsammer · Bielefeld |
| 46' | ⚽ | Andreas Voglsammer · Bielefeld |
| 51' | ⚽ | Sebastian Schonlau · SC Paderborn 07 |
| 58' | 🟨 | Florian Hartherz · Bielefeld |
| 63' | ⚽ | Fabian Klos · Bielefeld |
| 65' | 🟨 | Manuel Prietl · Bielefeld |
| 73' | 🟨 | Keanu Staude · Bielefeld |
| 75' | 🟨 | Bernard Tekpetey · SC Paderborn 07 |
| 90' | 🟨 | Stefan Ortega · Bielefeld |
| 90' | ⚽ | Julius Düker · SC Paderborn 07 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 11 |
| 6 | On target | 5 |
| 4 | Corners | 5 |
| 20 | Fouls | 20 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | SC Paderborn 07 | Bielefeld |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.22 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.40 | 0.17 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.20 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.56 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 |
| venue | Benteler-Arena |
| 2.00 |
| coach days | 608.00 | 882.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.05 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.60 | 6.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.92 | 2.12 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1459.00 | 1434.74 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -1.43 | -44.72 |
| eye test v1 | 0.93 | -0.51 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.02 | 0.11 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 65.80 | 53.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.89 | 0.79 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.30 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.64 | 0.64 |
| league points | 21.00 | 13.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 8.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.00 | 71.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.00 | 48.20 |
| rest days | 5.00 | 6.90 |
| scorer concentration | 0.28 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.40 | 0.87 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 17.40 | 13.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.08 | -0.72 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 7.20 | 3.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 7.67 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 25.16 | 26.60 |
| state index | -0.05 | -0.97 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.68 | -0.83 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.41 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |