← 2. Bundesliga 2018 · Sat, Nov 24, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Arne Aarnink, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Holstein Kiel win | 47% | 2.07 |
| SV Sandhausen win | 27% | 3.62 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.66 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 9' | ⚽ | Kingsley Schindler · Holstein Kiel |
| 33' | ⚽ | Jae-sung Lee · Holstein Kiel |
| 39' | 🟨 | Alexander Mühling · Holstein Kiel |
| 43' | 🟨 | Hauke Wahl · Holstein Kiel |
| 67' | 🟨 | Felix Müller · SV Sandhausen |
| 70' | 🟨 | David Kinsombi · Holstein Kiel |
| 83' | ⚽ | Fabian Schleusener · SV Sandhausen |
| 90' | 🟨 | Atakan Karazor · Holstein Kiel |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 21 |
| 2 | On target | 5 |
| 1 | Corners | 7 |
| 13 | Fouls | 16 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Holstein Kiel | SV Sandhausen |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.52 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.25 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 |
| venue | Holstein-Stadion |
| 1.80 |
| coach days | 146.00 | 54.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 6.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.89 | 2.35 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.56 |
| elo | 1563.92 | 1429.48 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -12.01 | 3.38 |
| eye test v1 | 0.03 | -0.45 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.58 | 0.07 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.40 | 58.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.32 | 1.40 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.62 | 0.63 |
| league points | 18.00 | 11.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.60 | 71.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.40 | 46.40 |
| rest days | 15.00 | 14.90 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.42 |
| season ppg | 1.38 | 0.79 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.40 | 1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.00 | 13.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.48 | -0.82 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 3.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.67 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 25.79 | 27.12 |
| state index | -0.03 | -0.24 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.60 | -0.92 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |