← 2. Bundesliga 2018 · Fri, Nov 23, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Markus Schmidt, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Greuther Furth win | 39% | 2.52 |
| Magdeburg win | 32% | 3.05 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.27 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 30' | ⚽ | Daniel Keita-Ruel · Greuther Furth |
| 40' | ⚽ | Christian Beck · Magdeburg |
| 45' | 🟨 | Sebastian Ernst · Greuther Furth |
| 49' | ⚽ | Felix Lohkemper · Magdeburg |
| 71' | 🟨 | Maximilian Bauer · Greuther Furth |
| 86' | 🟨 | Fabian Reese · Greuther Furth |
| 88' | ⚽ | Shawn Parker · Greuther Furth |
| 89' | 🟨 | Tobias Mohr · Greuther Furth |
| 90' | 🟨 | Björn Rother · Magdeburg |
| 90' | ⚽ | Richard Magyar · Greuther Furth |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 15 | Shots | 13 |
| 6 | On target | 9 |
| 4 | Corners | 8 |
| 16 | Fouls | 11 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Greuther Furth | Magdeburg |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.32 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.45 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 448.00 |
| venue | Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer |
| 1606.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.76 | 1.97 |
| elo | 1443.82 | 1429.41 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -17.35 | -52.56 |
| eye test v1 | -0.45 | -0.10 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.17 | -0.44 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 40.40 | 61.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.40 | 1.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | 0.56 |
| league points | 20.00 | 9.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 70.60 | 70.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.60 | 52.20 |
| rest days | 12.21 | 12.21 |
| scorer concentration | 0.35 | 0.43 |
| season ppg | 1.54 | 0.69 |
| skill v1 | -0.53 | -0.49 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 4.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.60 |
| state index | -0.62 | -1.18 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.51 | -0.21 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |