← 2. Bundesliga 2018 · Mon, Nov 12, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Martin Thomsen, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bochum win | 47% | 2.05 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.45 |
| Darmstadt win | 25% | 3.91 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 26' | 🟨 | Tobias Kempe · Darmstadt |
| 35' | 🟨 | Tim Rieder · Darmstadt |
| 62' | ⚽ | Tom Weilandt · Bochum |
| 89' | 🟨 | Aytaç Sulu · Darmstadt |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 7 |
| 5 | On target | 2 |
| 8 | Corners | 1 |
| 11 | Fouls | 21 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bochum | Darmstadt |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.43 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.45 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.60 |
| coach days | 284.00 | 346.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.20 |
| venue | Vonovia Ruhrstadion |
| corner diff avg (last 5) |
| -3.20 |
| -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.28 | 2.04 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1523.66 | 1514.39 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -0.30 | 5.77 |
| eye test v1 | -0.20 | -0.55 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.33 | 0.13 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.10 | 67.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.73 | 0.84 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.65 |
| league points | 20.00 | 20.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.40 | 64.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.80 | 48.60 |
| rest days | 10.00 | 9.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.32 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.54 | 1.54 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -6.60 | 0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.00 | 11.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.16 | -1.40 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.10 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 28.88 | 27.71 |
| state index | -0.09 | 0.00 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.09 | -0.65 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.80 |