← 2. Bundesliga 2018 · Sun, Nov 11, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Harm Osmers, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ingolstadt win | 46% | 2.11 |
| Bielefeld win | 27% | 3.54 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.63 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 23' | 🟨 | Julian Börner · Bielefeld |
| 41' | 🟨 | Manuel Prietl · Bielefeld |
| 55' | ⚽ | Almog Cohen · Ingolstadt |
| 68' | 🟨 | Jóan Edmundsson · Bielefeld |
| 78' | ⚽ | Fabian Klos · Bielefeld |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 17 | Shots | 15 |
| 3 | On target | 2 |
| 6 | Corners | 7 |
| 13 | Fouls | 15 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ingolstadt | Bielefeld |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.23 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.54 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.60 |
| venue | Audi Sportpark |
| coach days | 71.00 | 863.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.05 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 2.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.78 | 2.63 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1423.55 | 1458.32 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -25.93 | -54.36 |
| eye test v1 | -0.30 | -0.20 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.15 | 0.01 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.40 | 54.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.94 | 1.55 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.90 | 0.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.73 |
| league points | 8.00 | 12.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 14.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since win | 9.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 69.40 | 74.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.60 | 51.20 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.18 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 0.62 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.60 | 14.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.79 | -0.17 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 26.51 | 26.13 |
| state index | -1.11 | -0.94 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.63 | -0.44 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.80 |