← 2. Bundesliga 2018 · Sun, Nov 11, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Muller Pascal, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Regensburg win | 37% | 2.61 |
| Magdeburg win | 35% | 2.81 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.43 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 3' | ⚽ | Marco Grüttner · Regensburg |
| 4' | ⚽ | Christian Beck · Magdeburg |
| 43' | 🟨 | Adrian Fein · Regensburg |
| 63' | 🟨 | Andreas Geipl · Regensburg |
| 67' | ⚽ | Christian Beck · Magdeburg |
| 80' | ⚽ | Marcel Correia · Regensburg |
| 90' | ⚽ | Hamadi Al Ghaddioui · Regensburg |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 16 | Shots | 18 |
| 4 | On target | 7 |
| 5 | Corners | 5 |
| 10 | Fouls | 18 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Magdeburg | Regensburg |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.39 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.68 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 1594.00 |
| venue | MDCC-Arena |
| 498.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.04 | 2.12 |
| elo | 1440.06 | 1477.54 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -32.00 | 14.80 |
| eye test v1 | -0.35 | 0.51 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.20 | -0.33 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.10 | 58.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.34 | 1.60 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.56 | 0.68 |
| league points | 9.00 | 17.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 70.20 | 61.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.40 | 45.00 |
| rest days | 8.02 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 0.75 | 1.42 |
| skill v1 | -0.66 | -1.89 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 6.00 |
| state index | -0.89 | -0.05 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.13 | -1.74 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.37 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.35 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |