← 2. Bundesliga 2018 · Sat, Nov 10, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Felix Brych, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| 1. FC Köln win | 62% | 1.56 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.12 |
| Dresden win | 15% | 6.49 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 3' | ⚽ | Jhon Córdoba · 1. FC Köln |
| 31' | 🟨 | Simon Terodde · 1. FC Köln |
| 42' | ⚽ | Simon Terodde · 1. FC Köln |
| 46' | ⚽ | Simon Terodde · 1. FC Köln |
| 51' | ⚽ | Jhon Córdoba · 1. FC Köln |
| 56' | ⚽ | Jonas Hector · 1. FC Köln |
| 59' | 🟨 | Marco Hartmann · Dresden |
| 61' | ⚽ | Simon Terodde · 1. FC Köln |
| 72' | ⚽ | Barış Atik · Dresden |
| 75' | 🟨 | Rafael Czichos · 1. FC Köln |
| 78' | ⚽ | Louis Schaub · 1. FC Köln |
| 83' | ⚽ | Jonas Hector · 1. FC Köln |
| 87' | 🟨 | Erich Berko · Dresden |
| 88' | 🟨 | Barış Atik · Dresden |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 9 |
| 12 | On target | 3 |
| 5 | Corners | 1 |
| 13 | Fouls | 20 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | 1. FC Köln | Dresden |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.41 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.35 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.43 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 132.00 |
| venue | RheinEnergieStadion |
| 60.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 4.84 | 2.78 |
| elo | 1497.11 | 1448.15 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -6.93 | 3.89 |
| eye test v1 | 0.83 | -0.50 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.25 | 0.05 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.50 | 64.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.45 | 1.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.65 | 0.77 |
| league points | 21.00 | 18.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.80 | 69.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 60.00 | 45.60 |
| rest days | 4.69 | 7.77 |
| scorer concentration | 0.50 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 1.75 | 1.50 |
| skill v1 | 1.09 | -1.02 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.90 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 3.60 |
| state index | -0.25 | -0.08 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.60 | -0.49 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |