← 2. Bundesliga 2018 · Sun, Nov 4, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Benedikt Kempkes, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC St. Pauli 1910 win | 36% | 2.67 |
| Bielefeld win | 34% | 2.81 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.32 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 7' | ⚽ | Keanu Staude · Bielefeld |
| 14' | 🟨 | Keanu Staude · Bielefeld |
| 49' | ⚽ (pen) | Marvin Knoll · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 54' | 🟨 | Fabian Klos · Bielefeld |
| 55' | ⚽ | Mats Møller Dæhli · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 82' | 🟨 | Anderson-Lenda Lucoqui · Bielefeld |
| 90' | 🟨 | Mats Møller Dæhli · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 90' | 🟨 | Bernd Nehrig · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 16 | Shots | 14 |
| 5 | On target | 8 |
| 6 | Corners | 3 |
| 19 | Fouls | 12 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bielefeld | FC St. Pauli 1910 |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.37 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 856.00 |
| venue | Schüco-Arena |
| 338.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.68 | 3.51 |
| elo | 1434.34 | 1450.15 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -34.59 | 23.91 |
| eye test v1 | -0.14 | 0.26 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.09 | -0.05 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.80 | 62.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.57 | 1.07 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.67 |
| league points | 12.00 | 19.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.00 | 70.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.60 | 41.00 |
| rest days | 8.06 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.23 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.09 | 1.73 |
| skill v1 | -0.01 | -1.25 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.80 |
| state index | -0.79 | 0.07 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.20 | -1.50 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.34 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |