← 2. Bundesliga 2018 · Sat, Nov 3, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Benjamin Cortus, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Darmstadt win | 40% | 2.42 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.20 |
| Magdeburg win | 30% | 3.28 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 13' | 🟨 | Fabian Holland · Darmstadt |
| 37' | 🟨 | Tobias Kempe · Darmstadt |
| 37' | 🟨 | Dennis Erdmann · Magdeburg |
| 43' | ⚽ | Serdar Dursun · Darmstadt |
| 60' | ⚽ (og) | Nico Hammann · Darmstadt |
| 63' | 🟨 | Dennis Erdmann · Magdeburg |
| 63' | 🟥 | Dennis Erdmann · Magdeburg |
| 69' | 🟨 | Fabian Holland · Darmstadt |
| 69' | 🟥 | Fabian Holland · Darmstadt |
| 71' | ⚽ | Marius Bülter · Magdeburg |
| 80' | ⚽ | Aytaç Sulu · Darmstadt |
| 83' | 🟨 | Björn Rother · Magdeburg |
| 85' | 🟨 | Tobias Müller · Magdeburg |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 6 | Shots | 7 |
| 3 | On target | 2 |
| 3 | Corners | 3 |
| 14 | Fouls | 15 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 1 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Darmstadt | Magdeburg |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.33 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.51 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 337.00 |
| venue | Stadion am Böllenfalltor |
| 1586.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.32 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1449.10 | 1452.64 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -14.53 | -22.83 |
| eye test v1 | -0.45 | -0.18 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.08 | 0.32 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 66.50 | 63.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 1.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.64 | 0.59 |
| league points | 14.00 | 9.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 9.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 65.00 | 72.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.60 | 52.00 |
| rest days | 7.81 | 7.81 |
| scorer concentration | 0.31 | 0.36 |
| season ppg | 1.27 | 0.82 |
| skill v1 | -1.45 | -0.30 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.40 |
| state index | -0.35 | -0.63 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.90 | 0.02 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |