← 2. Bundesliga 2018 · Fri, Nov 2, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Michael Bacher, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Dresden win | 41% | 2.39 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.25 |
| SV Sandhausen win | 30% | 3.27 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 11' | ⚽ | Moussa Koné · Dresden |
| 12' | 🟨 | Moussa Koné · Dresden |
| 22' | ⚽ | Fabian Schleusener · SV Sandhausen |
| 28' | 🟨 | Philipp Klingmann · SV Sandhausen |
| 31' | ⚽ | Aias Aosman · Dresden |
| 37' | 🟨 | Dario Đumić · Dresden |
| 58' | 🟨 | Sören Gonther · Dresden |
| 76' | ⚽ | Rico Benatelli · Dresden |
| 81' | 🟨 | Korbinian Vollmann · SV Sandhausen |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 10 | Shots | 12 |
| 4 | On target | 2 |
| 1 | Corners | 6 |
| 15 | Fouls | 12 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Dresden | SV Sandhausen |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.68 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.80 |
| venue | Rudolf-Harbig Stadion |
| coach days | 52.00 | 32.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.64 | 1.83 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1460.90 | 1444.47 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 6.55 | 13.65 |
| eye test v1 | -0.71 | -0.31 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.13 | 0.33 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.00 | 54.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.23 | 1.45 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.77 | 0.66 |
| league points | 18.00 | 9.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 68.20 | 68.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.20 | 45.80 |
| rest days | 5.00 | 6.04 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.36 |
| season ppg | 1.50 | 0.82 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.20 | 0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.00 | 13.40 |
| skill v1 | -1.28 | -1.13 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.40 | 3.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 26.57 | 27.01 |
| state index | -0.33 | -0.01 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.74 | -1.12 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.34 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.31 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |