← 2. Bundesliga 2018 · Fri, Nov 2, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Patrick Alt, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bochum win | 36% | 2.69 |
| Greuther Furth win | 35% | 2.74 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.40 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 15' | 🟨 | Jan Gyamerah · Bochum |
| 37' | ⚽ | Robert Tesche · Bochum |
| 38' | 🟨 | Danilo Soares · Bochum |
| 39' | 🟨 | Sascha Burchert · Greuther Furth |
| 45' | ⚽ | Lukas Hinterseer · Bochum |
| 56' | ⚽ | Lukas Gugganig · Greuther Furth |
| 83' | 🟨 | Maximilian Wittek · Greuther Furth |
| 90' | 🟨 | Mario Maloča · Greuther Furth |
| 90' | 🟨 | Lukas Gugganig · Greuther Furth |
| 90' | 🟨 | Chung-yong Lee · Bochum |
| 90' | ⚽ | Daniel Keita-Ruel · Greuther Furth |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 16 | Shots | 11 |
| 5 | On target | 5 |
| 3 | Corners | 5 |
| 18 | Fouls | 20 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Greuther Furth | Bochum |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.20 |
| venue | Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer |
| coach days | 427.00 | 274.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | -3.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 6.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.93 | 2.28 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.43 |
| elo | 1497.75 | 1522.66 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 7.79 | -15.22 |
| eye test v1 | -0.94 | -0.07 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.32 | -0.36 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 45.10 | 57.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.34 | 1.73 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.75 |
| league points | 22.00 | 19.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 68.00 | 76.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.20 | 51.80 |
| rest days | 7.04 | 4.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 1.83 | 1.58 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | -4.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.40 | 12.20 |
| skill v1 | -1.17 | 0.12 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 25.20 | 29.29 |
| state index | 0.04 | -0.24 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.83 | 0.14 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |