← 2. Bundesliga 2018 · Mon, Oct 29, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Martin Petersen, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bochum win | 45% | 2.14 |
| Regensburg win | 29% | 3.37 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.75 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 11' | ⚽ | Sargis Adamyan · Regensburg |
| 35' | 🟨 | Andreas Geipl · Regensburg |
| 45' | ⚽ | Robert Tesche · Bochum |
| 54' | ⚽ | Lukas Hinterseer · Bochum |
| 65' | ⚽ | Lukas Hinterseer · Bochum |
| 77' | ⚽ (pen) | Marc Lais · Regensburg |
| 78' | 🟨 | Sebastian Stolze · Regensburg |
| 90' | ⚽ | Hamadi Al Ghaddioui · Regensburg |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 12 | Shots | 13 |
| 5 | On target | 6 |
| 5 | Corners | 7 |
| 11 | Fouls | 16 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bochum | Regensburg |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.45 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.41 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.71 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.60 |
| venue | Vonovia Ruhrstadion |
| coach days | 270.00 | 485.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -4.60 | -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.20 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.26 | 2.97 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1525.72 | 1475.77 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -9.13 | 44.44 |
| eye test v1 | -0.02 | 0.84 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.23 | -0.01 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.00 | 61.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.69 | 1.69 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.77 | 0.70 |
| league points | 18.00 | 18.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.00 | 60.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.20 | 41.60 |
| rest days | 8.04 | 8.04 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.40 |
| season ppg | 1.64 | 1.64 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.20 | -2.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.60 | 14.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.41 | -2.24 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.50 | 5.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 7.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 6.60 |
| squad age | 29.21 | 26.74 |
| state index | -0.03 | 0.47 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.17 | -2.37 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.36 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.34 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.40 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.00 |