← 2. Bundesliga 2018 · Sat, Oct 27, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Alexander Sather, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| SC Paderborn 07 win | 46% | 2.12 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.46 |
| SV Sandhausen win | 26% | 3.69 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 14' | ⚽ | Fabian Schleusener · SV Sandhausen |
| 19' | 🟨 | Bernard Tekpetey · SC Paderborn 07 |
| 27' | ⚽ | Andrew Wooten · SV Sandhausen |
| 35' | ⚽ | Babacar Guèye · SC Paderborn 07 |
| 44' | 🟨 | Tim Kister · SV Sandhausen |
| 65' | 🟨 | Denis Linsmayer · SV Sandhausen |
| 66' | ⚽ | Bernard Tekpetey · SC Paderborn 07 |
| 80' | ⚽ | Marlon Ritter · SC Paderborn 07 |
| 83' | ⚽ | Andrew Wooten · SV Sandhausen |
| 89' | 🟨 | Marlon Ritter · SC Paderborn 07 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 24 | Shots | 11 |
| 6 | On target | 4 |
| 10 | Corners | 4 |
| 7 | Fouls | 15 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | SC Paderborn 07 | SV Sandhausen |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.27 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 |
| venue | Benteler-Arena |
| 1.80 |
| coach days | 574.00 | 26.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 3.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 2.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.24 | 2.28 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.55 |
| elo | 1460.43 | 1442.26 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 11.23 | -0.19 |
| eye test v1 | 0.92 | -0.52 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.12 | -0.01 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 63.70 | 55.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.60 | 1.29 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.69 |
| league points | 16.00 | 8.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.40 | 71.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.80 | 48.20 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 8.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.35 | 0.38 |
| season ppg | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 16.40 | 12.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.32 | -0.64 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.80 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 24.70 | 27.02 |
| state index | 0.08 | -0.15 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.10 | -0.53 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |