← 2. Bundesliga 2018 · Fri, Oct 26, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Timo Gerach, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hamburger SV win | 41% | 2.38 |
| Magdeburg win | 30% | 3.18 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.37 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2' | 🟨 | David Bates · Hamburger SV |
| 24' | 🟨 | Richard Weil · Magdeburg |
| 53' | 🟨 | David Bates · Hamburger SV |
| 53' | 🟥 | David Bates · Hamburger SV |
| 77' | ⚽ | Khaled Narey · Hamburger SV |
| 85' | 🟨 | Christian Beck · Magdeburg |
| 90' | 🟨 | Michel Niemeyer · Magdeburg |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 8 | Shots | 13 |
| 5 | On target | 8 |
| 4 | Corners | 7 |
| 7 | Fouls | 10 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Magdeburg | Hamburger SV |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.25 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.48 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.60 |
| venue | MDCC-Arena |
| coach days | 1578.00 | 239.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | — | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.04 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 2.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 3.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 6.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.04 | 1.89 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1467.30 | 1585.69 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -11.60 | -33.25 |
| eye test v1 | 0.30 | -0.33 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.31 | -0.15 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 64.80 | 50.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.43 | 1.40 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.54 | 0.72 |
| league points | 10.00 | 18.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 69.80 | 81.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.60 | 66.40 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.36 | 0.36 |
| season ppg | 0.91 | 1.80 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.00 | 12.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.48 | 1.54 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 26.81 | 24.07 |
| state index | -0.36 | -0.02 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.13 | 1.44 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.00 |