← 2. Bundesliga 2018 · Fri, Oct 19, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Marco Fritz, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| SV Sandhausen win | 40% | 2.44 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.21 |
| Ingolstadt win | 30% | 3.22 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 7' | ⚽ (pen) | Andrew Wooten · SV Sandhausen |
| 12' | 🟨 | Philipp Förster · SV Sandhausen |
| 15' | 🟨 | Marvin Matip · Ingolstadt |
| 16' | 🟨 | Robin Krausse · Ingolstadt |
| 25' | 🟨 | Marcel Gaus · Ingolstadt |
| 38' | 🟨 | Leart Paqarada · SV Sandhausen |
| 53' | 🟨 | Benedikt Gimber · Ingolstadt |
| 66' | ⚽ | Denis Linsmayer · SV Sandhausen |
| 78' | ⚽ | Fabian Schleusener · SV Sandhausen |
| 86' | ⚽ | Fabian Schleusener · SV Sandhausen |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 17 | Shots | 7 |
| 4 | On target | 2 |
| 6 | Corners | 3 |
| 10 | Fouls | 18 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | SV Sandhausen | Ingolstadt |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 4.00 |
| venue | Hardtwaldstadion |
| coach days | 18.00 | 48.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | -2.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 7.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.18 | 5.33 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.39 |
| elo | 1426.11 | 1437.72 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -11.88 | -54.58 |
| eye test v1 | -0.46 | -0.54 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.16 | 0.49 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.30 | 51.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -2.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.71 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.58 |
| league points | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.20 | 70.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.80 | 45.20 |
| rest days | 12.00 | 12.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.40 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 0.56 | 0.56 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -4.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.40 | 10.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.55 | -1.02 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.00 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 27.92 | 26.66 |
| state index | -0.62 | -1.26 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.40 | -0.57 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |