← 2. Bundesliga 2018 · Sun, Oct 7, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Robert Kempter, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC St. Pauli 1910 win | 43% | 2.28 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.15 |
| SV Sandhausen win | 27% | 3.64 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 14 |
| 5 | On target | 3 |
| 0 | Corners | 1 |
| 14 | Fouls | 14 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | FC St. Pauli 1910 | SV Sandhausen |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 |
| venue | Millerntor-Stadion |
| 1.60 |
| coach days | 310.00 | 6.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.04 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 3.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.02 | 2.66 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1470.53 | 1437.17 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -2.79 | 0.50 |
| eye test v1 | 0.07 | -0.52 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.02 | 0.15 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.80 | 55.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 0.70 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.62 | 0.74 |
| league points | 13.00 | 5.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 68.00 | 71.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 38.40 | 46.60 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | — |
| season ppg | 1.63 | 0.63 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.60 | 10.40 |
| skill v1 | -1.69 | -0.82 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 2.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 2.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 26.45 | 27.88 |
| state index | -0.12 | -0.30 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -2.00 | -0.50 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.00 |