← 2. Bundesliga 2018 · Sat, Oct 6, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Manuel Gräfe, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Magdeburg win | 39% | 2.47 |
| Dresden win | 32% | 3.07 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.32 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 7' | ⚽ | Moussa Koné · Dresden |
| 23' | ⚽ | Aias Aosman · Dresden |
| 60' | ⚽ (og) | Niklas Kreuzer · Magdeburg |
| 61' | 🟨 | Patrick Ebert · Dresden |
| 63' | 🟨 | Dennis Erdmann · Magdeburg |
| 69' | 🟨 | Moussa Koné · Dresden |
| 88' | 🟨 | Björn Rother · Magdeburg |
| 90' | ⚽ | Marius Bülter · Magdeburg |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 20 | Shots | 7 |
| 8 | On target | 4 |
| 7 | Corners | 2 |
| 8 | Fouls | 17 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Magdeburg | Dresden |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.24 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.39 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.25 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.40 |
| venue | MDCC-Arena |
| coach days | 1558.00 | 25.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | — | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | — | 2.21 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1483.79 | 1457.20 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 4.66 | 32.91 |
| eye test v1 | -0.32 | -0.63 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.31 | 0.07 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 69.50 | 57.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | — | 1.20 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | — | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.59 | 0.69 |
| league points | 9.00 | 15.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 64.40 | 69.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.60 | 43.00 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.40 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 1.67 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | -1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.40 | 12.40 |
| skill v1 | -1.64 | -1.25 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.25 | 3.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 26.68 | 26.07 |
| state index | -0.25 | 0.24 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.81 | -1.14 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.00 |