← 2. Bundesliga 2018 · Fri, Oct 5, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Lasse Koslowski, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bochum win | 43% | 2.24 |
| Bielefeld win | 29% | 3.34 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.51 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 8' | ⚽ | Tom Weilandt · Bochum |
| 59' | 🟨 | Jonathan Clauss · Bielefeld |
| 75' | 🟨 | Chung-yong Lee · Bochum |
| 81' | 🟨 | Cedric Brunner · Bielefeld |
| 90' | 🟨 | Jóan Edmundsson · Bielefeld |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 20 |
| 3 | On target | 5 |
| 2 | Corners | 11 |
| 8 | Fouls | 14 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bochum | Bielefeld |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.53 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.00 |
| venue | Vonovia Ruhrstadion |
| coach days | 246.00 | 826.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.01 | 1.96 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1514.36 | 1498.79 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -5.44 | 8.49 |
| eye test v1 | 0.53 | -0.01 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.38 | -0.51 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.10 | 59.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.69 | 1.55 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.70 |
| league points | 14.00 | 12.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.60 | 74.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.20 | 53.40 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.23 | 0.18 |
| season ppg | 1.56 | 1.50 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | 2.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.00 | 13.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.00 | -0.03 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.50 | 4.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 4.60 |
| state index | -0.08 | -0.07 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.29 | -0.01 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |