← 2. Bundesliga 2018 · Sat, Sep 29, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Rene Rohde, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Heidenheim win | 38% | 2.54 |
| Bochum win | 34% | 2.88 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.46 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 11' | ⚽ | Nikola Dovedan · Heidenheim |
| 17' | 🟨 | Anthony Losilla · Bochum |
| 21' | ⚽ | Lukas Hinterseer · Bochum |
| 31' | ⚽ | Tim Hoogland · Bochum |
| 33' | 🟨 | Anthony Losilla · Bochum |
| 33' | 🟥 | Anthony Losilla · Bochum |
| 58' | 🟨 | Timo Perthel · Bochum |
| 77' | ⚽ | Robert Glatzel · Heidenheim |
| 78' | 🟨 | Chung-yong Lee · Bochum |
| 80' | 🟨 | Jan Gyamerah · Bochum |
| 83' | 🟨 | Robert Tesche · Bochum |
| 84' | ⚽ | Marc Schnatterer · Heidenheim |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 21 | Shots | 10 |
| 8 | On target | 5 |
| 7 | Corners | 5 |
| 14 | Fouls | 8 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 6 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Heidenheim | Bochum |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.53 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.49 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.45 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| venue | Voith-Arena |
| coach days | 4046.00 | 240.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.20 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.46 | 2.49 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1477.80 | 1523.96 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 4.48 | 10.57 |
| eye test v1 | 0.45 | 0.69 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.08 | 0.70 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.20 | 54.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.95 | 1.70 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.73 |
| league points | 8.00 | 14.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 70.20 | 74.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.60 | 55.20 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.56 | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 1.14 | 1.75 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.40 | 13.20 |
| skill v1 | -1.11 | 0.09 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.90 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 7.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 6.20 |
| squad age | 25.73 | 27.78 |
| state index | -0.02 | 0.32 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.51 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |