← 2. Bundesliga 2018 · Fri, Sep 28, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Timo Gerach, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Holstein Kiel win | 49% | 1.97 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.66 |
| Darmstadt win | 24% | 3.96 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 12' | ⚽ | Benjamin Girth · Holstein Kiel |
| 23' | ⚽ | Alexander Mühling · Holstein Kiel |
| 29' | 🟨 | Jannik Dehm · Holstein Kiel |
| 29' | ⚽ (pen) | Tobias Kempe · Darmstadt |
| 32' | ⚽ | Janni Serra · Holstein Kiel |
| 39' | ⚽ | Tobias Kempe · Darmstadt |
| 45' | 🟨 | Tobias Kempe · Darmstadt |
| 51' | 🟨 | Jannik Dehm · Holstein Kiel |
| 51' | 🟥 | Jannik Dehm · Holstein Kiel |
| 55' | 🟨 | Serdar Dursun · Darmstadt |
| 70' | ⚽ | David Kinsombi · Holstein Kiel |
| 84' | 🟨 | Marvin Mehlem · Darmstadt |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 3 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 14 | Shots | 16 |
| 6 | On target | 3 |
| 7 | Corners | 4 |
| 10 | Fouls | 12 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Holstein Kiel | Darmstadt |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.36 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.71 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 89.00 |
| venue | Holstein-Stadion |
| 301.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.68 | 3.03 |
| elo | 1526.18 | 1452.07 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -32.89 | -8.27 |
| eye test v1 | -0.52 | -0.05 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.41 | -0.23 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.50 | 65.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 2.02 | 1.08 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.77 |
| league points | 9.00 | 10.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.20 | 73.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 60.80 | 51.40 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.13 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.29 | 1.43 |
| skill v1 | 0.89 | -0.21 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.40 |
| state index | -0.46 | -0.41 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.02 | -0.03 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |