← 2. Bundesliga 2018 · Wed, Sep 26, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Thorben Siewer, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| SV Sandhausen win | 35% | 2.79 |
| Draw | 33% | 2.91 |
| Erzgebirge AUE win | 32% | 3.04 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 34' | ⚽ | Andrew Wooten · SV Sandhausen |
| 52' | 🟨 | Calogero Rizzuto · Erzgebirge AUE |
| 62' | 🟨 | Denis Linsmayer · SV Sandhausen |
| 80' | 🟨 | Clemens Fandrich · Erzgebirge AUE |
| 82' | 🟨 | Markus Karl · SV Sandhausen |
| 85' | ⚽ | Fabian Schleusener · SV Sandhausen |
| 90' | 🟨 | Nicolai Rapp · Erzgebirge AUE |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 14 | Shots | 18 |
| 2 | On target | 5 |
| 3 | Corners | 3 |
| 13 | Fouls | 12 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Erzgebirge AUE | SV Sandhausen |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.45 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.25 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 |
| venue | Sparkassen Erzgebirgsstadion |
| 1.60 |
| coach days | 482.00 | 817.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.02 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | -0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.78 | 2.88 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1426.08 | 1430.82 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 29.33 | -26.52 |
| eye test v1 | -0.11 | -0.94 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.70 | 0.33 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 63.70 | 52.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.48 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.62 | 0.73 |
| league points | 10.00 | 2.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 10.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.60 | 69.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.40 | 41.60 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | — |
| season ppg | 1.43 | 0.33 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | -1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.20 | 9.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.32 | -1.37 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 2.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 2.60 |
| squad age | 27.74 | 27.20 |
| state index | -0.09 | -1.12 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.34 | -0.94 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.40 |