← 2. Bundesliga 2018 · Tue, Sep 25, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Arne Aarnink, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| 1. FC Köln win | 65% | 1.49 |
| Draw | 20% | 4.82 |
| Ingolstadt win | 15% | 6.26 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 36' | 🟨 | Darío Lezcano · Ingolstadt |
| 51' | 🟨 | Benedikt Gimber · Ingolstadt |
| 53' | ⚽ | Sonny Kittel · Ingolstadt |
| 57' | 🟨 | Robin Krausse · Ingolstadt |
| 67' | 🟨 | Jonas Hector · 1. FC Köln |
| 70' | ⚽ (pen) | Simon Terodde · 1. FC Köln |
| 79' | 🟨 | Paulo Otávio · Ingolstadt |
| 85' | ⚽ | Simon Terodde · 1. FC Köln |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 15 |
| 4 | On target | 7 |
| 5 | Corners | 7 |
| 17 | Fouls | 22 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | 1. FC Köln | Ingolstadt |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.49 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.27 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.76 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.40 |
| venue | RheinEnergieStadion |
| coach days | 86.00 | 24.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.80 | -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 6.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 8.20 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 4.35 | 5.30 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.43 |
| elo | 1593.36 | 1463.67 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 2.38 | -23.50 |
| eye test v1 | 0.82 | -0.77 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.40 | -0.13 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.90 | 56.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.23 | 0.94 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.63 | 0.60 |
| league points | 13.00 | 5.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 12.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.00 | 73.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 62.00 | 52.80 |
| rest days | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.50 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 2.17 | 0.83 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.40 | 11.80 |
| skill v1 | 1.36 | -0.17 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 3.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.00 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 2.80 |
| squad age | 26.44 | 26.19 |
| state index | 0.35 | -0.71 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.01 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.16 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |