← 2. Bundesliga 2018 · Sun, Sep 23, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Christian Dietz, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| SC Paderborn 07 win | 53% | 1.81 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.69 |
| Magdeburg win | 21% | 4.66 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2' | ⚽ (og) | Tobias Müller · SC Paderborn 07 |
| 7' | ⚽ | Bernard Tekpetey · SC Paderborn 07 |
| 26' | ⚽ | Marcel Costly · Magdeburg |
| 28' | 🟨 | Aleksandar Ignjovski · Magdeburg |
| 32' | 🟨 | Christian Beck · Magdeburg |
| 45' | 🟨 | Klaus Gjasula · SC Paderborn 07 |
| 62' | ⚽ | Sebastian Vasiliadis · SC Paderborn 07 |
| 63' | ⚽ | Christian Beck · Magdeburg |
| 70' | 🟨 | Christian Strohdiek · SC Paderborn 07 |
| 77' | ⚽ | Tobias Schwede · SC Paderborn 07 |
| 82' | ⚽ | Felix Lohkemper · Magdeburg |
| 83' | 🟨 | Philip Türpitz · Magdeburg |
| 86' | 🟨 | Tobias Müller · Magdeburg |
| 90' | 🟨 | Nils Butzen · Magdeburg |
| 90' | ⚽ (pen) | Philip Türpitz · Magdeburg |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 17 | Shots | 13 |
| 6 | On target | 9 |
| 2 | Corners | 3 |
| 17 | Fouls | 16 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | SC Paderborn 07 | Magdeburg |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | — |
| box share (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.48 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.80 |
| venue | Benteler-Arena |
| coach days | 540.00 | 1545.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | — |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 8.20 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.92 | — |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1449.19 | 1478.00 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 35.95 | -22.00 |
| eye test v1 | 0.33 | -1.03 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.35 | 0.52 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 64.00 | 74.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.51 | — |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | — |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | — |
| keeper form v1 | 0.58 | — |
| league points | 8.00 | 3.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.00 | 65.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.20 | 44.60 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.40 | — |
| season ppg | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.80 | 10.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.34 | -1.51 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.00 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.33 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 2.60 |
| squad age | 26.04 | 25.22 |
| state index | 0.21 | -0.52 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.80 | -0.71 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.41 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | — |