← 2. Bundesliga 2018 · Sun, Sep 23, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Tobias Welz, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Heidenheim win | 44% | 2.17 |
| Greuther Furth win | 29% | 3.32 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.64 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 29' | 🟨 | David Atanga · Greuther Furth |
| 66' | ⚽ | Robert Glatzel · Heidenheim |
| 77' | 🟨 | Maximilian Sauer · Greuther Furth |
| 78' | 🟨 | Daniel Keita-Ruel · Greuther Furth |
| 90' | ⚽ | Robert Glatzel · Heidenheim |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 18 | Shots | 11 |
| 8 | On target | 0 |
| 8 | Corners | 2 |
| 16 | Fouls | 11 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Heidenheim | Greuther Furth |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.42 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.48 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 |
| venue | Voith-Arena |
| 2.20 |
| coach days | 4040.00 | 387.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | -4.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 8.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.60 | 1.48 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1474.00 | 1503.65 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 4.79 | 42.36 |
| eye test v1 | 0.24 | 0.95 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.17 | 0.37 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.30 | 53.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.07 | 1.16 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.78 | 0.68 |
| league points | 5.00 | 14.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.80 | 67.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 42.20 | 42.40 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 8.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.40 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 2.33 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | -0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.60 | 15.60 |
| skill v1 | -1.04 | -1.52 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 7.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 6.60 |
| squad age | 27.17 | 25.48 |
| state index | -0.08 | 0.56 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.49 | -1.91 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.41 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.38 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |