← 2. Bundesliga 2018 · Sat, Sep 22, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Tobias Reichel, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Holstein Kiel win | 40% | 2.41 |
| Bochum win | 33% | 2.95 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.52 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 26' | 🟨 | David Kinsombi · Holstein Kiel |
| 34' | 🟨 | Tim Hoogland · Bochum |
| 38' | ⚽ | Lukas Hinterseer · Bochum |
| 57' | ⚽ (og) | Danilo Soares · Holstein Kiel |
| 65' | ⚽ | Tom Weilandt · Bochum |
| 90' | 🟨 | Dominik Schmidt · Holstein Kiel |
| 90' | ⚽ | Janni Serra · Holstein Kiel |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 15 | Shots | 9 |
| 5 | On target | 6 |
| 10 | Corners | 2 |
| 12 | Fouls | 11 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Holstein Kiel | Bochum |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.46 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.40 |
| venue | Holstein-Stadion |
| coach days | 83.00 | 233.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.24 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.47 | 2.58 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1583.26 | 1534.85 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -2.26 | 55.48 |
| eye test v1 | -0.03 | -0.07 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.61 | 0.54 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.70 | 55.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 2.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 2.01 | 1.62 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.71 |
| league points | 8.00 | 13.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.00 | 73.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 58.00 | 51.40 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.14 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 1.60 | 2.17 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.40 | -3.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.60 | 11.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.78 | -0.27 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.60 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 6.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 25.88 | 27.90 |
| state index | 0.16 | 0.89 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.71 | 0.10 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |