← 2. Bundesliga 2018 · Sat, Sep 22, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Benedikt Kempkes, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Dresden win | 43% | 2.26 |
| Darmstadt win | 29% | 3.36 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.38 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 3' | ⚽ (pen) | Moussa Koné · Dresden |
| 18' | ⚽ | Marcel Heller · Darmstadt |
| 36' | 🟨 | Dario Đumić · Dresden |
| 45' | 🟨 | Linus Wahlqvist · Dresden |
| 54' | ⚽ | Patrick Ebert · Dresden |
| 60' | ⚽ | Philip Heise · Dresden |
| 79' | 🟨 | Fabian Holland · Darmstadt |
| 85' | 🟨 | Terrence Boyd · Darmstadt |
| 90' | ⚽ | Moussa Koné · Dresden |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 11 | Shots | 9 |
| 4 | On target | 3 |
| 2 | Corners | 1 |
| 17 | Fouls | 19 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Dresden | Darmstadt |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.36 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.70 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 11.00 |
| venue | Rudolf-Harbig Stadion |
| 295.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.66 | 2.92 |
| elo | 1413.20 | 1481.55 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -3.94 | 14.78 |
| eye test v1 | -0.14 | -0.31 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.19 | 0.12 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.60 | 63.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 1.08 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.85 |
| league points | 6.00 | 10.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.20 | 70.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.40 | 50.00 |
| rest days | 3.77 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.40 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.30 | -0.63 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.00 |
| state index | -0.52 | 0.13 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.88 | -0.16 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.60 |