← 2. Bundesliga 2018 · Fri, Sep 21, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Patrick Alt, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ingolstadt win | 43% | 2.22 |
| FC St. Pauli 1910 win | 29% | 3.34 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.48 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 8 | Shots | 10 |
| 2 | On target | 2 |
| 5 | Corners | 7 |
| 17 | Fouls | 10 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ingolstadt | FC St. Pauli 1910 |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.41 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.75 | 0.43 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 |
| venue | Audi Sportpark |
| 1.80 |
| coach days | 20.00 | 294.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.17 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 3.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 1.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 5.50 | 2.92 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.22 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1476.23 | 1445.20 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -21.30 | -12.86 |
| eye test v1 | -0.71 | 0.12 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.19 | 0.01 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.60 | 55.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 1.07 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.59 | 0.53 |
| league points | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 70.80 | 71.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.00 | 48.40 |
| rest days | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | -0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.80 | 13.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.41 | -0.66 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 26.17 | 25.70 |
| state index | -0.59 | -0.68 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.08 | -0.60 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.15 | 0.34 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |