← 2. Bundesliga 2018 · Mon, Sep 17, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Christof Gunsch, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Magdeburg win | 36% | 2.68 |
| Bielefeld win | 34% | 2.82 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.24 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 30' | 🟨 | Rico Preißinger · Magdeburg |
| 38' | 🟨 | Dennis Erdmann · Magdeburg |
| 66' | 🟨 | Jóan Edmundsson · Bielefeld |
| 76' | 🟨 | Björn Rother · Magdeburg |
| 83' | 🟨 | Romain Brégerie · Magdeburg |
| 90' | 🟨 | Jonathan Clauss · Bielefeld |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 17 |
| 5 | On target | 4 |
| 3 | Corners | 2 |
| 14 | Fouls | 12 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Magdeburg | Bielefeld |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | — | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | — | 1.80 |
| venue | MDCC-Arena |
| coach days | 1539.00 | 808.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | — | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | — | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | — | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | — | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | — | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | — | 2.25 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | — | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | — | 0.61 |
| elo | 1479.12 | 1500.11 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | — | 5.36 |
| eye test v1 | -1.30 | 1.04 |
| eye trend v1 | — | 0.19 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 73.50 | 61.00 |
| form points (last 5) | — | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | — | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | — | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | — | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | — | 1.65 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | — | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.70 |
| league points | 2.00 | 7.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 65.50 | 73.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.50 | 49.00 |
| rest days | 14.00 | 16.00 |
| scorer concentration | — | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 0.50 | 1.75 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | — | 6.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | — | 17.60 |
| skill v1 | -1.46 | -0.41 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.50 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | — | 5.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.00 | 6.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 6.60 |
| squad age | 26.70 | 25.98 |
| state index | -0.38 | 0.03 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.59 | -1.09 |
| threat rate (last 10) | — | 0.34 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.40 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.36 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | — | 0.60 |