← 2. Bundesliga 2018 · Sat, Sep 15, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Lasse Koslowski, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Holstein Kiel win | 41% | 2.37 |
| Greuther Furth win | 32% | 3.05 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.48 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 17 | Shots | 9 |
| 8 | On target | 2 |
| 3 | Corners | 6 |
| 11 | Fouls | 6 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Greuther Furth | Holstein Kiel |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.43 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 |
| venue | Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer |
| 2.00 |
| coach days | 379.00 | 76.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.17 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -4.00 | 0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 9.20 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.48 | 3.50 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1483.12 | 1603.79 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 35.24 | 29.82 |
| eye test v1 | 0.54 | 0.51 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.60 | -0.47 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.70 | 64.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.84 | 2.11 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 1.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.78 |
| league points | 11.00 | 8.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 8.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 66.80 | 79.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.40 | 57.40 |
| rest days | 14.00 | 12.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.17 |
| season ppg | 2.20 | 2.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.80 | -0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.80 | 13.80 |
| skill v1 | -1.33 | 0.80 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.50 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.67 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 5.20 |
| squad age | 25.07 | 25.92 |
| state index | 0.26 | 0.84 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.31 | 0.47 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.20 |