← 2. Bundesliga 2018 · Mon, Sep 3, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Robert Kampka, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Holstein Kiel win | 45% | 2.13 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.44 |
| Magdeburg win | 26% | 3.66 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 55' | 🟨 | Jonas Meffert · Holstein Kiel |
| 65' | ⚽ | Philip Türpitz · Magdeburg |
| 75' | ⚽ | Alexander Mühling · Holstein Kiel |
| 82' | 🟨 | Dennis Erdmann · Magdeburg |
| 87' | ⚽ | Aaron Seydel · Holstein Kiel |
| 90' | 🟨 | Dominik Schmidt · Holstein Kiel |
| 90' | 🟨 | Aleksandar Ignjovski · Magdeburg |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 10 |
| 5 | On target | 4 |
| 4 | Corners | 2 |
| 16 | Fouls | 13 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Holstein Kiel | Magdeburg |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.42 | — |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.18 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.18 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | — |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.39 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | — |
| venue | Holstein-Stadion |
| coach days | 64.00 | 1525.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | — |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | — |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | — |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | — |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.00 | — |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.57 | — |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | — |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | — |
| elo | 1598.41 | 1484.50 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 25.06 | — |
| eye test v1 | 0.45 | -1.58 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.17 | — |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 65.60 | 76.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | — |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | — |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | — |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | — |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 2.15 | — |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.30 | — |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | — |
| keeper form v1 | 0.79 | 0.68 |
| league points | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.00 | 67.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.40 | 48.67 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 9.00 |
| season ppg | 1.67 | 0.67 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | — |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.20 | — |
| skill v1 | 0.78 | -1.09 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.80 | — |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 1.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 1.33 |
| squad age | 25.16 | 26.41 |
| state index | 0.67 | -0.26 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.26 | -0.20 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | — |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | — |