← 2. Bundesliga 2018 · Sun, Sep 2, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Timo Gerach, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| 1. FC Union Berlin win | 38% | 2.55 |
| SV Sandhausen win | 32% | 3.06 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.17 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 24' | 🟨 | Tim Kister · SV Sandhausen |
| 24' | 🟨 | Florian Hübner · 1. FC Union Berlin |
| 24' | 🟨 | Simon Hedlund · 1. FC Union Berlin |
| 44' | 🟨 | Philipp Förster · SV Sandhausen |
| 56' | 🟨 | Grischa Prömel · 1. FC Union Berlin |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 9 |
| 3 | On target | 4 |
| 5 | Corners | 2 |
| 14 | Fouls | 15 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | SV Sandhausen | 1. FC Union Berlin |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 |
| venue | Hardtwaldstadion |
| 1.60 |
| coach days | 793.00 | 63.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.02 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | -1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 6.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.71 | 2.11 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.55 |
| elo | 1436.67 | 1542.59 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -44.81 | 43.53 |
| eye test v1 | -1.04 | 0.24 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.90 | 63.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | 1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.84 | 1.25 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.71 |
| league points | 0.00 | 7.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 7.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 70.40 | 73.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 42.80 | 46.20 |
| rest days | 9.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | — | 0.50 |
| season ppg | 0.00 | 2.33 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.60 | 3.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.00 | 14.80 |
| skill v1 | -1.14 | -0.64 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 27.22 | 27.59 |
| state index | -1.26 | 0.73 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.60 | -0.99 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.32 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.40 |