← 2. Bundesliga 2018 · Sun, Sep 2, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Alexander Sather, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Heidenheim win | 39% | 2.50 |
| Darmstadt win | 32% | 2.98 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.35 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 11' | ⚽ | Marcel Franke · Darmstadt |
| 21' | 🟨 | Marcel Franke · Darmstadt |
| 45' | 🟨 | Nikola Dovedan · Heidenheim |
| 45' | 🟨 | Fabian Holland · Darmstadt |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 16 | Shots | 17 |
| 5 | On target | 8 |
| 7 | Corners | 6 |
| 11 | Fouls | 11 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Heidenheim | Darmstadt |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.46 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| coach days | 4019.00 | 275.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.20 |
| venue | Voith-Arena |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.66 | 2.63 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.03 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.41 |
| elo | 1489.49 | 1534.75 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 8.24 | 19.71 |
| eye test v1 | 0.44 | -0.51 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.13 | -0.12 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.30 | 65.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 1.26 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.88 |
| league points | 5.00 | 9.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 69.80 | 69.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.40 | 44.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 8.90 |
| season ppg | 1.67 | 2.25 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.60 | -5.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 16.40 | 10.20 |
| skill v1 | -1.16 | -1.18 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 25.97 | 27.64 |
| state index | 0.20 | 0.35 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.79 | -0.26 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |