← 2. Bundesliga 2018 · Sat, Sep 1, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Robert Schroder, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bielefeld win | 44% | 2.22 |
| Regensburg win | 29% | 3.30 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.58 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 3' | ⚽ | Marco Grüttner · Regensburg |
| 8' | ⚽ | Julian Börner · Bielefeld |
| 17' | ⚽ | Andreas Voglsammer · Bielefeld |
| 26' | ⚽ | Jann George · Regensburg |
| 28' | ⚽ (og) | Benedikt Saller · Bielefeld |
| 50' | 🟨 | Florian Hartherz · Bielefeld |
| 52' | ⚽ | Marco Grüttner · Regensburg |
| 56' | 🟨 | Andreas Geipl · Regensburg |
| 62' | 🟨 | Asger Sørensen · Regensburg |
| 76' | 🟨 | Fabian Klos · Bielefeld |
| 88' | ⚽ | Fabian Klos · Bielefeld |
| 90' | 🟨 | Jóan Edmundsson · Bielefeld |
| 90' | ⚽ | Patrick Weihrauch · Bielefeld |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 3 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 20 | Shots | 14 |
| 10 | On target | 6 |
| 4 | Corners | 7 |
| 14 | Fouls | 12 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bielefeld | Regensburg |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.56 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.20 |
| venue | Schüco-Arena |
| coach days | 792.00 | 427.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.04 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 6.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 6.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.33 | 3.01 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.57 |
| elo | 1490.30 | 1424.94 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -13.58 | -13.75 |
| eye test v1 | 0.34 | 0.44 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.17 | 0.08 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.50 | 49.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.59 |
| league points | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.20 | 65.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.00 | 46.60 |
| rest days | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| season ppg | 1.33 | 1.33 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 4.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 16.40 | 17.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.01 | -1.35 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.10 | 4.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.00 |
| squad age | 26.45 | 27.62 |
| state index | 0.00 | -0.46 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.56 | -1.79 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.34 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.39 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.80 |